US Dollar Price Forecast: Treasury Yields Lift DXY as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Retreat

US Dollar Price Forecast: Treasury Yields Lift DXY as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Retreat

Source: EODHD - https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/currencies/articles/us-dollar-price-forecast-treasury-083755824.html
Published: Oct 01, 2026 4:37 AM

Dollar Index Outlook: Treasury Yield Surge Lifts Dollar as EUR and GBP Face Inflation Risks The U.S. dollar starts October with positive news from rising U.S. Treasury yields. While falling September inflation reduces the possibility for a September Fed fund rate increase, rising yields make October rate hike chances more positive. The U.S. CPI report for September was released on September 14 and showed a larger than expected decline in month over month inflation. The report also revised the previously reported July CPI to show a smaller than initially reported increase in inflation. As a result, the expected probability of a September Fed Fund rate increase fell from 50% to 38% where it ha...

Market context: This update is relevant to EUR traders, with EURUSD as the primary instrument to monitor for follow-through, trend continuation, or headline volatility.