Euro: October ECB hike odds seen limited – Standard Chartered

Euro: October ECB hike odds seen limited – Standard Chartered

Source: EODHD - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/euro-october-ecb-hike-odds-seen-limited-standard-chartered-202610021302
Published: Oct 02, 2026 9:02 AM

Standard Chartered Global Research team discusses Euro area monetary policy, noting that core inflation has only edged up slightly since January and that higher yields pose downside risks to both growth and inflation. The authors judge that these factors reduce the chances of an October rate hike and expect the Governing Council to wait for new macroeconomic projections at the December policy meeting.

Market context: This update is relevant to EUR traders, with EURUSD as the primary instrument to monitor for follow-through, trend continuation, or headline volatility.